Numbers Don't Lie
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Is Numbers Don't Lie a Reliable Crypto YouTuber? Trust Score & Prediction Accuracy

Independent, AI-driven analysis of reliability and verified prediction accuracy.

5,170 subscribers20 videos analyzedView channel
Trust score
79/ 100
Reliability
80/ 100
ExpertiseAdvancedOutranks 50% of 200 tracked channels

What the analysis says

The channel demonstrates a strong grasp of market dynamics, both in the short and long term, with detailed commentary on cycle timing, asset performance, and risk management. The creator consistently applies analytical reasoning, referencing historical data and multiple scenarios to inform decisions. There is a clear educational intent, with explanations on portfolio strategies, rebalancing, and the psychological traps common among investors. The creator does not promote any particular asset aggressively and discusses the risks, rewards, and uncertainties openly. There are no signs of misleading promotion or fraudulent behavior. Disclosure about personal positions is transparent, and the content avoids hype or emotional bias. Overall, the channel provides value for intermediate to advanced investors seeking sober analysis and practical strategies, with some focus on Bitcoin and altcoins but without extreme speculative advice.

Focus areas

Market Cycle AnalysisPortfolio ManagementRisk ManagementPsychology of InvestingTechnical Analysis

13-indicator reliability breakdown

Each indicator is scored 0–100 from the channel's content.

Market understanding90

The creator demonstrates a nuanced understanding of crypto market cycles, relative asset performance, and historical patterns. References to specific cycles, comparisons to traditional markets, and detailed scenario planning indicate high market knowledge.

Technical analysis80

Technical analysis is used effectively, especially in cycle comparison and discussion of price action. While not heavily chart-driven, the reasoning shows a strong grasp of technical signals and timing issues.

Fundamental analysis70

Fundamental analysis is present in the discussion of macro factors (Fed chair changes, ETF flows, asset comparisons) and the rationale behind portfolio selection. However, the focus is more on cycle and technical aspects than deep fundamentals of individual coins.

Regularity and consistency80

Content is consistent in tone, approach, and educational value across videos. The creator regularly discusses market conditions, strategies, and risk management without abrupt shifts or inconsistent messaging.

Educational value90

Videos provide clear explanations of portfolio management, rebalancing techniques, and psychological traps, offering practical insights for viewers. The creator breaks down strategies with examples and simulations.

Research quality70

The creator references historical data, simulations, and real-life portfolio outcomes, but does not cite external academic sources or deep technical research. The analysis is thorough and grounded, but not highly academic.

Disclosure practices80

Personal positions and actions are disclosed openly (e.g., percentage of Bitcoin sold, rationale for trades). There is no evidence of hidden motives or undisclosed sponsorships.

Bias level80

The creator maintains a balanced perspective, discusses both upside and downside scenarios, and avoids emotional or hype-driven commentary. There is clear acknowledgment of uncertainty and risk.

Predictions and analyses60

Some references to past actions and outcomes are present, but there is limited long-term documented track record or verification. The creator appears credible, but more historical evidence would improve this score.

Channel descriptionN/A

No channel description was provided, so this indicator cannot be evaluated.

Engagement of subscribers70

With 5170 subscribers and 234,238 total views, engagement is reasonable. Recent videos have modest but consistent views, indicating an active but not viral audience.

Editorial quality70

Video transcripts show clear structure, logical progression, and well-formulated arguments. While production quality cannot be assessed from transcripts, the content quality is strong.

Promotional ethics90

There is no evidence of aggressive promotion, shilling, or misleading advertising. The creator does not push any asset, avoids hype, and discusses risks transparently.

Verified prediction accuracy

Track record being built

Not enough verified predictions yet to publish a meaningful accuracy figure for this channel.

Recent verified predictions

  • BTC
    Bearish
    Partial
    Nov 28, 2025

    The scenario in which Bitcoin goes down to roughly 60K in March 2026 and then moves toward all-time highs seems incredibly hard to position for.

    Target: $60,000

How it compares

A trust score of 79/100 sits against a dataset median of 79/100 — outranking 50% of the 200 crypto channels we track.

Methodology

Scores come from AI analysis of the channel's videos across 13 reliability indicators (0–10, shown as /100). Predictions are extracted from transcripts and later checked against real market prices; weighted accuracy counts a hit as 1 and a partial as ½ over all verified calls. Transparency is the product — every figure is reproducible.

Not financial advice. Trust scores and accuracy reflect past content and predictions, not future results.

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Scores last updated