The Most Accurate Crypto YouTubers of Q3 2026: 3,005 Predictions Checked Against the Price

The channels we track made 9,534 price predictions between July and September 2026. By 3 November, 3,005 of them had reached their date and been checked against the real price.

Here is who was least wrong. "Least wrong" is the honest phrase: the channel at the top of this table got 14 of 31 calls within 5% of its target, and that is the best result of the quarter.

The ranking is provisional, for a reason we explain below. It also tells you something more useful than a name to follow.

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How we score a prediction

Our AI extracts every specific price call from a creator's videos: the asset, the direction, the target and the horizon. When the date comes, a job compares the call with the market price and writes one of three verdicts.

• HIT: right direction, within 5% of the target.
• PARTIAL: right direction, between 5% and 20% off.
• MISS: wrong direction, or 20% or more off.

Weighted accuracy counts a HIT as one point and a PARTIAL as half a point, divided by every checked call.

To appear in the table, a channel needs at least 30 checked calls made in the quarter and a trust score of 7 or above. Twenty-nine channels reached 30 checked calls. The median among them was 35.3%. Two channels above 40% sit under the trust line and are not ranked: a good quarter on price does not cancel the way a video is made.

Calls with no number cannot be graded, so they do not count at all. We explained why that matters in The Checkability Gap.

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The Q3 2026 leaderboard

#	Channel	Subscribers	Trust	Checked	HIT / PARTIAL / MISS	Weighted accuracy	Strict hit rate
1	Stefan Stoean	18.2K	7.8	31	14 / 10 / 7	61.3%	45.2%
2	Bitcoin hoy	106K	8.1	38	16 / 13 / 9	59.2%	42.1%
3	Crypto World	222K	7.1	77	35 / 14 / 28	54.5%	45.5%
4	Lexa Moon Crypto	53.5K	8.2	50	20 / 12 / 18	52.0%	40.0%
5	CryptosRUs	804K	7.5	33	10 / 12 / 11	48.5%	30.3%
6	Advance Crypto Trader	375K	7.4	54	21 / 9 / 24	47.2%	38.9%
7	Crypto Le Trone	158K	8.0	113	41 / 18 / 54	44.2%	36.3%
8	Cilinix Crypto	104K	7.5	367	110 / 80 / 177	40.9%	30.0%
9	Moshin	147K	7.0	82	22 / 22 / 38	40.2%	26.8%
10	VirtualBacon	773K	8.9	39	10 / 9 / 20	37.2%	25.6%

Predictions made from 1 July to 30 September 2026, checked by 3 November 2026.

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Why these numbers will fall

Across all channels, Q3 calls show a strict hit rate of 24.9%. Across every prediction we have ever checked, the figure is 16.1%. It would be easy to conclude that creators got better. The data does not support that.

Of the 9,534 Q3 predictions, only 3,005 have a verdict so far. Another 4,613 are still open and 1,916 expired without a gradable target. The calls that resolve first are the short ones, and short calls do far better: across our whole history, 20.8% of short-term calls hit, against 5.8% of medium-term calls and 0.8% of long-term ones.

So this table is a picture of the quarter's fast calls. As the longer ones come due, expect most of these percentages to drop. Read it as a snapshot dated 3 November.

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What the table tells you

Size says very little

The channel at number one has 18,200 subscribers. The largest channel in the top 10 has 804,000 and finishes fifth. Across the 29 channels with enough checked calls, subscriber count and weighted accuracy correlate at -0.15, which is weak. A big audience is not evidence of a good record, in either direction.

Half the top 10 do not publish in English

Stefan Stoean publishes in Romanian, Bitcoin hoy in Spanish, Lexa Moon Crypto and Crypto Le Trone in French, Moshin in Japanese. If you only watch English-language crypto YouTube, you are missing five of the ten channels on this list.

Trust and accuracy measure different things

Krown holds the highest trust score of the 29 channels, 9.1 out of 10, and finishes just outside the top 10 at 36.0% on 57 checked calls. VirtualBacon, second on trust at 8.9, closes the table. Trust and weighted accuracy correlate at 0.21 here.

That is not a contradiction. The trust score grades how a video is made: disclosure, knowledge, pressure, risk. Accuracy grades one thing, whether the call landed. A careful analyst can be wrong on price, and a lucky call can come in a video you should not trust. You want to see both numbers.

Count the calls before you read the percentage

Thirty-one checked calls is a small sample. Three different verdicts would move the leader by several points. Cilinix Crypto, in eighth place, has 367 checked calls in the quarter, more than the top six combined. Its 40.9% carries far more weight than a higher figure on a short list.

Some names come back

Bitcoin hoy, Crypto World, Lexa Moon Crypto and Cilinix Crypto also appeared in the top 10 of our Q2 2026 leaderboard. The two tables are not built identically, since Q2 counted every call checked up to June and this one counts only calls made in the quarter. Even so, four repeat names out of ten is the most interesting signal here. One good quarter is often luck. A second one starts to be a record.

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How to use this

Do not copy a call because the creator is on this list. Nobody in the table can be followed blindly: even the leader missed or only partly landed more than half of its calls.

Use it to weigh what you hear instead:

1. Check the record before the argument. A confident thesis from a channel at 30% deserves a different reaction from the same thesis at 55%.
2. Look at the count. Under 50 checked calls, treat the percentage as a hint.
3. Look at the horizon. A long-dated target is the hardest call there is.
4. Keep the two scores apart. Trust tells you whether to keep watching. Accuracy tells you how much weight to give the number.

Every channel above has a public page on CryptoKrios with its trust score and its prediction record. Create a free account to look up the channels you watch.

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CryptoKrios provides analytics and insights for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Trust scores are based on AI analysis of publicly available content and historical prediction accuracy. They do not guarantee future performance. Data as of 3 November 2026; extraction by AI is imperfect and figures change as predictions come due.